Chances Of Us Recession In 2024 By Year. 26 rows us recession probability is at 56.29%, compared to 55.83% last month and 66.01% last year. Wall street 's recent recession forecasts were hammered this week as data on jobs, consumer spending,.
In depth view into us recession probability including historical data from 1960 to 2025, charts. View an estimate of the probability of recession based on employment, industrial production, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales.